Crude came to life today, don't know why and don't care why.
Ok I do care but since I don't know why I just said I didn't care.
I think I may have stumbled onto a nice system for setting targets. If not "nice" then at least one that is rational. Don't have the stats to back that up but I do have a few years of staring at this thing and have earned a bit of a feel for it.
I hope.
Anyway I am using a percentage the 5 day ATR and then setting the actual target number to the first fib number under that percentage.
Could all be a massive case of recency bias but seems to be working nicely for now.
I only got 2 signals in this massive move up today as the signals stopped due to the EMA spread.
Both hit target and that always makes the "just watching" part of the day a little more relaxing.
2 Minute Crude Oil Chart
Obviously with the right side of the chart filled out I left a lot of porridge on the table today. (and the day's not over) That's ok, the right side of the chart was blank when I exited. I traded my plan my way and it all worked out.
Nice day.
9 comments:
Nice work Sol.
moo
Your right side is the wrong side, Solfest.
Price should be DOWN.
.....
Sorry.
Tis why I am a follower and not a predictor.
I would comment but I notice you have been moo-ing on other blogs.
I am hurt and betrayed.
We only have serious discussions on your blog now.
I felt quite intellectual for a couple of days :-)
Then I looked at mt eur/jpy p/l and soon realised I am not as smart as I think I am!!
Arrrrrrr!
BTW, dig your Flickr stream.
-AT
Thank you.
Is it summer yet?
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